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#tropicalwx

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NHC (bot)<p><a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/HurricaneHunters" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HurricaneHunters</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/NHC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NHC</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> </p><p>000<br>NOUS42 KNHC 151734<br>REPRPD<br>WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br>CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br>1235 PM EST SUN 15 DECEMBER 2024<br>SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)<br> VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z DECEMBER 2024<br> WSPOD NUMBER.....24-015</p><p>I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.</p><p>II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS<br> 1. MISSION REQUESTS FOR A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE<br> NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP FOR THE 17/0000Z<br> SYNOPTIC TIME, BUT NEITHER REQUEST CAN BE SUPPORTED.</p><p> 2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J</p>
Brad Rosenheim<p>In a meteorological sense, tropical cyclones have a job. The Earth is heated unevenly. This is apparent to almost everyone; the poles (Antarctica and the Arctic) are colder than the tropics. What people don't always realize is that nature always tries to erase gradients. This is loosely related to the second law of thermodynamics, if you will humor me. So Earth is always trying to spread extra tropical heat to the poles, where there are heat deficits.</p><p>The way this is done is mainly through ocean currents. Large gyre systems slowly transport heat poleward through steady strong currents, allowing both latent (evaporation and condensation) and sensible (temperature radiation) heat exchange with the much smaller, in terms of energy, atmosphere. During the height of high temperature gradients, for a few months after the solstice, these ocean currents aren't enough. Heat is building up, and the gradient is getting stronger.</p><p>That's where hurricanes come in. They are violent transfers of heat from the tropics to the poles. They represent hyper exchange of energy from the oceans to the atmosphere, and eventual poleward movement. The evaporation and mixing while the hurricane is formed takes up ocean energy at the tropics. The intense rain events at higher latitudes (like in North Carolina this year after Hurricane Helene) release that tropical heat to the higher latitudes. That is their job.</p><p>The more excess heat we store in tropical oceans, and the less currents can transport heat poleward, the more tropical cyclones we should expect. Nature hates gradients.</p><p><a href="https://en.osm.town/@seav/113486289077819795" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">en.osm.town/@seav/113486289077</span><span class="invisible">819795</span></a></p><p><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/hurricanes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>hurricanes</span></a><br><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/TropicalWX" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWX</span></a><br><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateChange</span></a><br><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>AMOC</span></a><br><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/HeatTransport" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HeatTransport</span></a></p>
AI6YR Ben<p>NHC forecasting Sara to become a depression soon. <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/Sara" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Sara</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/NHC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NHC</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TSSara" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TSSara</span></a></p>
AI6YR Ben<p>Hmm, some models have <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/Sara" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Sara</span></a> going to Florida as a Tropical Storm. <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TSSara" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TSSara</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/Sara" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Sara</span></a></p>
National Hurricane Center Bot<p>National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 5A for TROPICAL STORM SARA INTERMEDIATE</p><p><a href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202411150000-KNHC-WTNT34-TCPAT4" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.ph</span><span class="invisible">p?pid=202411150000-KNHC-WTNT34-TCPAT4</span></a></p><p><a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/tropicalwx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tropicalwx</span></a></p>
AI6YR Ben<p>PTC19 is now Tropical Storm Sara. <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TSSara" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TSSara</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/PTC19" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PTC19</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a></p>
National Hurricane Center Bot<p>National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 4A for TROPICAL STORM SARA INTERMEDIATE</p><p><a href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202411141800-KNHC-WTNT34-TCPAT4" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.ph</span><span class="invisible">p?pid=202411141800-KNHC-WTNT34-TCPAT4</span></a></p><p><a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/tropicalwx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tropicalwx</span></a></p>
NHC (bot)<p><a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/HurricaneHunters" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HurricaneHunters</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/NHC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NHC</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> </p><p>000<br>NOUS42 KNHC 141654<br>REPRPD<br>WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br>CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br>1155 AM EST THU 14 NOVEMBER 2024<br>SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)<br> VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z NOVEMBER 2024<br> TCPOD NUMBER.....24-167</p><p>I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br> 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN<br> FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 73 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 71<br> A. 15/2330Z,16/0530Z A. 16/1130Z,1730Z<br> B. AFXXX 0519A CYCLONE B. AFXXX 0619A CYCLONE<br> C. 15/2030Z C. 16/0830Z<br> D. 16.2N 85.4W D. 16.2N 85.8W<br> E. 15/2300Z TO 16/0530Z E. 16/1100Z TO 1</p>
AI6YR Ben<p>PTC19 <br><a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/PTC19" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PTC19</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalCyclone" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalCyclone</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a></p>
AI6YR Ben<p>PTC19 has formed in the Caribbean</p><p>Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen</p><p><a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205755.shtml?cone#contents" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_</span><span class="invisible">at4+shtml/205755.shtml?cone#contents</span></a><br><a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/hurricanes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>hurricanes</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalStorm" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalStorm</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/PTC19" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PTC19</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/hurricaneseason" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>hurricaneseason</span></a></p>
jess<p>and there's ptc 19. <a href="https://petrous.vislae.town/tags/TropicalWX" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWX</span></a></p>
AI6YR Ben<p>90% chance in 7 days of another cyclone.</p><p><a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&amp;fdays=7" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=at</span><span class="invisible">lc&amp;fdays=7</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/hurricane" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>hurricane</span></a></p>
AI6YR Ben<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/@Tay" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>Tay</span></a></span> Since there are blind users on my server here, if you can paste in alt text, it's a lot better for them. Thanks for posting! <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/alttext" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>alttext</span></a> </p><p>Full text here plus a link to the full forecast.</p><p>Tropical Weather Outlook<br>NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>700 PM EST Tue Nov 12 2024</p><p>For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:</p><p>(...) <br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.<br>* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.<br>(...) <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/hurricanes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>hurricanes</span></a></p>
AI6YR Ben<p>70% chance of a tropical cyclone forming this week 👀 <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a></p>
NHC (bot)<p><a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/HurricaneHunters" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HurricaneHunters</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/NHC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NHC</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> </p><p>000<br>NOUS42 KNHC 101735<br>REPRPD<br>WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br>CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br>1235 PM EST SUN 10 NOVEMBER 2024<br>SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)<br> VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z NOVEMBER 2024<br> TCPOD NUMBER.....24-163</p><p>I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.</p><p>II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS<br> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.</p><p>NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.<br> THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:</p><p> 1. MISSION REQUESTS FO</p>
AI6YR Ben<p>Final update on Rafael from the NHC --weakening rapidly <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyCIfuA0aDk" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">youtube.com/watch?v=iyCIfuA0aD</span><span class="invisible">k</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/Rafael" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Rafael</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalWx</span></a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/TropicalStormRafael" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>TropicalStormRafael</span></a></p>
National Hurricane Center Bot<p>NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Update (TCU) at Nov 6, 6:00 PM EST ...CENTER OF RAFAEL ON THE NORTH COAST OF WESTERN CUBA, , 6 PM EST POSITION UPDATE...</p><p><a href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202411062300-KNHC-WTNT63-TCUAT3" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.ph</span><span class="invisible">p?pid=202411062300-KNHC-WTNT63-TCUAT3</span></a></p><p><a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/tropicalwx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tropicalwx</span></a></p>
National Hurricane Center Bot<p>National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 13 for HURRICANE RAFAEL</p><p><a href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202411062100-KNHC-WTNT33-TCPAT3" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.ph</span><span class="invisible">p?pid=202411062100-KNHC-WTNT33-TCPAT3</span></a></p><p><a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/tropicalwx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tropicalwx</span></a></p>
National Hurricane Center Bot<p>National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 11A for HURRICANE RAFAEL INTERMEDIATE</p><p><a href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202411061200-KNHC-WTNT33-TCPAT3" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.ph</span><span class="invisible">p?pid=202411061200-KNHC-WTNT33-TCPAT3</span></a></p><p><a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/tropicalwx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tropicalwx</span></a></p>
National Hurricane Center Bot<p>National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 11 for HURRICANE RAFAEL</p><p><a href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202411060900-KNHC-WTNT33-TCPAT3" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.ph</span><span class="invisible">p?pid=202411060900-KNHC-WTNT33-TCPAT3</span></a></p><p><a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://social.edist.ro/tags/tropicalwx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tropicalwx</span></a></p>
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