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#PeaceTalks

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#AIConversation: a #conversationwithdeepseek 70b:

Q: what would you say, why did the #Ukraine #conflict escalate and what to do to #deescalate it?
<think>
Okay, so I need to figure out why the Ukraine conflict escalated and how to deescalate it. Hmm, where do I start?

I remember that the conflict has been going on for a while. It started in 2014 with some protests, right? That's when #Crimea was annexed by #Russia. But now it's gotten much worse since
February 2022 because Russia invaded Ukraine more aggressively.

Why did it escalate so much this time? Maybe there are deeper reasons. I think it has to do with historical ties between Russia and Ukraine. They were part of the Soviet Union
together, so there's a lot of shared history, but also some tensions, especially over Ukrainian independence.

Another thing is #NATOexpansion. After the #ColdWar, #NATO started including more Eastern #European countries. #Russia didn't like that because it felt threatened by #military #alliances
getting closer to its #borders. So when #Ukraine considered joining #NATO, maybe #Russia saw that as a direct threat and decided to act.

There's also the issue of pro-Russian #separatists in eastern #Ukraine. Since 2014, they've been fighting against the Ukrainian government, and Russia has supported them. That ongoing
#conflict probably kept tensions high and made things worse over time.

In terms of deescalating, I'm not sure what can be done. Maybe a #ceasefire would help stop the immediate #violence
But how do you get both sides to agree?

They might need some kind of
#mediator or #peacetalks facilitated by other countries or organizations like the #UN.

#Economic #sanctions were imposed on Russia because of their actions, but maybe easing those could be an incentive for deescalation.

Though I'm not sure if that would work without other measures in place.

#Ukraine's #sovereignty is really important here.

They should have the right to make their own decisions about alliances and security without interference from bigger powers like Russia
or NATO.

I think a long-term solution needs to address those underlying issues, maybe through #negotiations where both sides can express their concerns. But it's complicated because there are so
many historical and political factors at play. Plus, you have external actors involved, which might make it harder to reach an agreement.

Overall, it seems like the conflict escalated due to a mix of historical tensions, security concerns, and internal Ukrainian politics.

#Deescalating would require careful diplomacy, possibly involving third parties, to find a compromise that respects Ukraine's sovereignty while addressing #Russia's #fear about #NATOexpansion.

</think>

The Ukraine conflict has deepened due to a complex interplay of historical, political, and security factors. To deescalate, a multifaceted approach is necessary:

1. **Immediate Measures**: Implementing a #ceasefire under international mediation can halt the violence. Organizations like the #UN could facilitate this process.

2. **Diplomatic Engagement**: #Peace talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and mediators are crucial. These should address security concerns, including NATO's expansion and regional
stability.

3. **Economic Incentives**: Easing sanctions on Russia might provide an incentive for deescalation, contingent upon reciprocal actions from Russia.

4. **#Sovereignty #Respect**: Upholding Ukraine's right to #selfdetermination and international relations is essential.

5. **Long-term Solutions**: Negotiations should consider historical ties and political tensions, ensuring a balance between Ukraine's autonomy and regional #security dynamics.

In summary, #deescalation requires careful #diplomacy, addressing both immediate concerns and underlying issues through mediated talks and mutual incentives.

#howto #AI #LLM model #deepseek 70GByte in size have a lot of RAM and fast CPU or GPU:

curl -fsSL ollama.com/install.sh | sh
# then
ollama run deepseek-r1:70b

hashtags: #politics #politic #economy #war #worldorder

In the Great Lakes region, hopes for a ceasefire in the strategic Congolese town of Walikale, seized by M23 rebels last week, briefly raised hopes of reviving stalled diplomatic efforts. Rwanda welcomed the move, reaffirming its commitment to a political solution. But the fragile truce appears to be unraveling, and mediation efforts are losing momentum … just as regional leaders prepare to meet to discuss the crisis.#Africa #EyeonAfrica #Rwanda #DRCongo #M23rebels #peacetalks #Sudan #war #Chad #AbdelFattahal-Burhan #Tunisia #music
Eye on Africa - M23 rebels say they withdraw forces to support peace push in DR Congo
FRANCE 24 · Eye on Africa - M23 rebels say they withdraw forces to support peace push in DR CongoBy Georja Calvin-Smith

Within hours of the #US call for a full #ceasefire, the #russian #dictator responded with a large-scale attack on multiple regions of #Ukraine, targeting civilian infrastructure, homes, and healthcare facilities—terrorizing cities in an assault that lasted into the early hours.

#putin has made it clear that he seeks only to prolong this #war. The world cannot allow him to dictate the terms of #peace.

A reminder: #Assassination of #JamalKhashoggi

On 2 October 2018, Jamal Khashoggi, a #Saudi #dissident #journalist, was #killed by agents of the Saudi government at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, Turkey.

Khashoggi was #ambushed & #strangled by a 15-member squad of Saudi operatives.

His body was dismembered & disposed of in some way that was never publicly revealed.

#USPol #auspol #Ukraine #PeaceTalks in #SaudiArabia really? Watch your back!

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assass

Continued thread

War resistance in Ukraine amidst the hype about peace talks
libcom.org/article/war-resista
"It is already officially recognized that after the law on partial decriminalization of unauthorized leaving a military unit (SZCh in Ukrainian) and desertion came into force, desertions from the army of Ukraine have increased significantly. “I spoke with our elite units, both with the Airborne Assault Forces and with the Marines: the number of SZCh increased by 60%,” said Roman Kostenko, secretary of the parliamentary defense committee, at the end of January. Seeing that the ground is slipping from under its feet, the Ukrainian state is trying to take punitive measures."
#deserters #war #RussianInvasion #Imperialism #UkraineWar #WarAgainstWar #Ukraine #solidarity #peacetalks

libcom.orgWar resistance in Ukraine amidst the hype about peace talks"By refusing to be controlled, you take control of your life." Archival poster from early 2013